brookstilley

brookstilley

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Season 3 Volume 7: LSU

Intro

I won’t belabor an extensive intro this week. It’s put up or shut up time for the Dawgs as we enter a 4 week stretch against ranked opponents. While I feel like I know almost nothing about how Georgia will respond when backed against the wall in a big game (thanks South Carolina), I am confident in the talent and mentality foundation we are built on thanks to Coach Smart. I am ready to learn about 2018 Georgia, and I think I am going to like what I see.

Positional Advantage vs LSU

Quarterback vs Quarterback

· The combination of Jake Fromm and Justin Fields gives Georgia the strong advantage over LSU’s Joe Burrow. Burrow has been good on the ground and decent through the air. However, Fromm has been extremely efficient and puts Georgia’s offense in the right play more often than not. Fields is icing on the cake, very very valuable icing. Advantage: Georgia

Georgia Offensive Line vs LSU Defensive Line

· LSU has a very solid defensive line, although maybe not as talented as we are accustomed to. Georgia’s offensive line is young, talented and deep. Not worried about Andrew Thomas when it comes to pass rush but Isiah Wilson could be challenged. In the end, depth and raw talent win out. Advantage: Georgia

Georgia Running Backs vs LSU Linebackers

· Devin White is the best linebacker in the country and could be drafted as high as #3 overall. He is a thicker Roquan Smith. He will be a menace in both run and pass defense the entire game. As good as Swift, Holyfield, Herrien and Cook are, White is better. This is obviously not to say that Georgia’s run game won’t have success, but White will have to be accounted for on every single play. For that reason, Advantage: LSU

NCAA Football: Louisiana State at Florida Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Georgia Wide Receivers vs LSU Secondary

· Dang, this matchup is just a bunch of good players vs another bunch of good players. Greedy Williams is the second best corner in college football. Grant Delpit is a physical and rangy beast. I’ve loved his play all season, especially against Auburn. But this will be the most physical and dynamic receiving core the Tigers have faced. Combo of Mecole and Ridley are experienced and can do every single thing you need them to do. When Terry Godwin, Jeremiah Holloman, Tyler Simmons and the entire TE core are your depth, you are in good shape against any secondary. Advantage: Georgia

Georgia Defensive Line vs LSU Offensive Line

· The LSU offensive Line is good not great. I would say the same of Georgia’s defensive line so far this year. The David Marshall injury is a huge one as he was coming on in the past few weeks. Tyler Clark needs a big game to push this over the edge for Georgia. If Jordan Davis and Julian Rochester are able to provide solid depth, the Dawgs will hold their own in the run game. Advantage: Georgia

Georgia Linebackers vs LSU Running Backs

Georgia does not have a dominating, alpha inside linebacker and LSU does not have an alpha in the backfield. Nick Brossette is a solid SEC back just as Natrez Patrick, Monty Rice and Juwuan Taylor are solid inside linebackers, but the game won’t be won or lost on the backs of these players. D’andre Walker’s knack for knocking the ball out pushes Georgia ahead here. If he forces a fumble Saturday, Georgia wins without question. Advantage: Georgia

Georgia Secondary vs LSU Receivers

JR Reed and D’andre Baker will not be fazed by a big game in an opposing stadium. The Georgia secondary will need to play extremely physical in the run game and make LSU prove they can beat them over the top. This unit is the one I have the most confidence in for a big game Saturday. Advantage: Georgia

I know all you mathematicians have counted up the “Advantage: Georgia”’s and are ready to celebrate. Hold your horses; this is a top 15 matchup in Death Valley. Given LSU’s raw talent and the environment on Saturday, this is likely to be Georgia’s toughest matchup of the regular season. One area I think Georgia has a huge advantage: Coaching. Georgia’s halftime adjustments have been absolutely terrific since Kirby took over. Match that with Ed Orgeron and a consistently rocky situation at offensive coordinator for LSU and Georgia may have as much as a 7 point advantage strictly through coaching (IMO). However, as is normally the case in college football, the players do most of the talking and I think the Dawgs will speak loud and clear this weekend. Georgia solidifies itself as the #2 team in the country and starts a roll through the rest of the SEC. Dawgs 31 LSU 17

Need more playing time

· D’andre Swift- feels weird to say this about a starter but it is true. Swift looked FULL SPEED for the first time all season against Vandy. He is a game breaker that can go 70 yards any time he touches the ball. If he is 100%, he needs more snaps to possibly house it.

· Justin Fields- I have been ultra-impressed by Fields. He still has a ways to go with the playbook and could use some improvement in ball security but he can do so many things physically that most people in the country cant. Situations where I hope to see more of Fields

o 3rd and 1: Cam Newton wasn’t stopped on 3rd and 1 and Fields won’t be either. QB Sneak, Read Option, Speed option, I don’t care. Give him the ball and he will fall forward for at least 2.5 yards

o Redzone: so many extra plays for a defense to prepare for inside 20 yards

o Need a Spark: as he gets more comfortable in the offense he will get more opportunities to boost the offense should it stagnate. He can fling a deep ball and scramble out of broken plays. Dynamic player. I think Georgia has been saving something special with Fields against LSU

· Tae Crowder: Crowder was excellent in pass coverage and aggressive in pressure. If he can defeat blocks and be physical in the run game, he will become a more complete 3 down linebacker. Until then, he will provide fresh minutes behind more established players

NCAA Football: Middle Tennessee at Georgia Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

· Jordan Davis: Davis got the majority of his playing time on one drive and made 3 consecutive tackles. He is probably the largest defensive lineman Georgia has and with the unit banged up and inconsistent, a second half surge from a big freshman could be one of the best things for this team. I am hoping he solidifies himself as a consistent rotation player starting in the LSU game

Bucky’s Easy Money of the Week

Woof. Tough week. I think the downslide was spread across most of college football as the Bear went 0-3 (professional slappy). Season is still yielding good results and this week will help.

Last Week: 1-4

This Season: 17-13-1, 57% win percentage

Overall: 77-69-3, 53% Win Percentage

Season 3 Volume 6: Vandy

Intro

I am exhausted after this week. Comparison is the thief of joy, and whether you are comparing this team to last year’s team or Alabama 2018, you are missing an undefeated season. We get it, there is stuff to fix. I am all for Munson-ing if we start the season 3-2. This isn’t going to be the same as last year. We probably won’t blow every single one of our rivals out of the water. As fun as that was, notching a W and moving on to the next week is just as fun if you are one of the four left at the end of the year. Look, Tennessee is not a good team, but they are also not as bad as they showed against Florida. They had six turnovers and quit against Florida. There was no possible way they could play any worse. Their talent is sparse but Ty Chandler, Nigel Warrior, Trey Smith and Marquez Callaway are good players. They still have SEC talent and you can never convince me that beating an SEC rival by 26 isn’t a sweet, sweet feeling. This tweet sums up this week pretty well.

It is never as good as it seems and it is never as bad as it seems. The reality of who this year’s Georgia team is lies somewhere in the middle of the preseason hype and your 4th quarter panic attack while up 12.

You want something positive to focus on? How about a dominant run drive that milked nearly 8 minutes off the clock and ended with a TD. Watching that drive was like watching art in motion. That is exactly who I want Georgia to be; a team that can step on your throat and stay there for almost 8 long minutes while running plays that the defense knows are coming. Brian Herrien must have heard me throwing shade at his short yardage run ability. He was a determined monster that could have churned out 3 yards on each play without any offensive lineman in the game. While I wish Georgia would look like a dominant machine for all four quarters, there is something to be said for a team that knows when to put an SEC opponent away. Stay calm dawg fans, we are 5-0 after all.

Concerns:

Although I see more good than bad, I am not going to tell you that there aren’t things that worry me. Georgia will need to get these things cleaned up before heading to Baton Rouge.

· Pass Protection- Isiah Wilson looked dawg tired. The southern heat is still getting to him and he got beat on Saturday due to fatigue. Kendall Baker was baddddd at right tackle. If he sees time it needs to be at guard and nowhere else.

· Big Plays- Georgia was very good at limiting big plays on defense last year. Tennessee managed two big plays due to miscommunication (Juwuan Taylor) and missed tackles/poor angles (D’andre Walker, Richard LeCounte).

· Swift’s Nagging Injury- Swift has been good but not as good as I expected. His quad injury looks to still be limiting him, especially in big play opportunities. Maybe he hasn’t gotten into space as easily or maybe his second gear is still missing.

NCAA Football: Tennessee at Georgia Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

We want more, we want more:

More of the good stuff please.

· Justin Fields in short yardage/redzone- This dude is dynamic in short yardage situations. He is a powerful runner that easily breaks arm tackles. Fields has been underutilized thus far in the redzone but if he can protect the ball, I am all for him being used more frequently in a Tim Tebow role. Ball security is the only possible thing that can hold him back from serving a more major role this year. Fields has Cam in him and we need to see much more of it.

· Run Defense- We struggled to keep contain on a few large runs but other than that, run defense was rock solid. It starts up front. The Dawgs defensive line is crucial to protecting both the interior and the edge and allowing inside linebackers to roam freely.

· Julian Rochester not playing nose- I have not been a fan of Julian Rochester playing nose. He has been pushed around in the middle. When he plays outside at end or tackle, he is able to use his athleticism to his advantage

· David Marshall- I thought that Marshall had Tyler Clark breakout potential preseason. I think he is really coming around and starting to make a ton of plays along the D line. His development will be a big part of Georgia’s success on defense.

· Cade Mays at Guard- Simply put, Mays is one of Georgia’s 6 best offensive linemen. In fact, he is probably top 4, which is really impressive as a true freshman. His natural position is tackle but with Ben Cleveland out for an extended period, Mays needs to be in at guard to solidify physical play.

NCAA Football: Georgia at South Carolina Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports

Vanderbilt Predictions

· Georgia holds Vanderbilt under 80 yards rushing

· The Dawgs get 2 interceptions

· D’andre Swift breaks a run longer than 30 yards

· Rodrigoat is perfect on FGs and touchbacks

· Riley Ridley and Mecole get a TD

· Dawgs win 47-13

Bucky’s Easy Money of the Week

Last week: 2-3

This season: 16-9-1, 64% winning percentage

Overall: 76-65-3, 54% winning percentage

When your worst week to date this year is 2-3, things aren’t too bad. Getting back to winning ways with an SEC edition this week. Throw what you know.

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